Prediction: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari
Team pages: Yulia Putintseva · Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Putintseva
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Putintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yulia Putintseva
2–3
Maria Sakkari
(5 last)
- 22 Jun0-2 11-14L
- 24 Aug0-2 10-13L
- 24 Sept1-2 12-13L
- 14 Sept2-0 12-7W
- 13 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Putintseva 1572 · Maria Sakkari 1545
| Yulia Putintseva | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yulia Putintseva 2–3 Maria Sakkari (5).
Statistics
| Yulia Putintseva | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9 | 12-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.4
Over 22.5: 40% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 60% · 1.80
H2H · Yulia Putintseva 2 – 3 Maria Sakkari (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yulia Putintseva 2–3 Maria Sakkari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 WTA Bad Homburg | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/08/20 WTA New York | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09/17 WTA Wuhan | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 14/09/16 WTA Tokyo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09/16 WTA Tokyo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Yihan Qu WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Shuai Zhang Asian Games |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ya-Yi Yang Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Donna Vekic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Storm Hunter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 52% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.