Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
20.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1577 · Nikola Bartunkova 1543
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.6 | 11.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 72% |
| Break % | 53% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nikola Bartunkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Tatjana Maria US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Mayar Sherif US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 55% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.