Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 26/10, 08:30
Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee
Team pages: Paula Badosa · Carol Young Suh Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Carol Young Suh Lee
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
4-6 (W-L)
Carol Young Suh Lee
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1500 · Carol Young Suh Lee 1502
| Paula Badosa | Carol Young Suh Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Carol Young Suh Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.5 | 11.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Daria Kasatkina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Carol Young Suh Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Elena Pridankina WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Harmony Tan WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Emiliana Arango WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Katie Boulter US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee?
Our model gives 60% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.