Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 26/10, 04:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Teodora Kostovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Teodora Kostovic
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
8-2 (W-L)
Teodora Kostovic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1592 · Teodora Kostovic 1544
| Maria Timofeeva | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1592 vs 1544).
- Note: Teodora Kostovic makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-7.8 | 12.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Teodora Kostovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Yihan Qu WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Martyna Kubka WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/09 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Fangran Tian WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic?
Our model gives 57% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.