Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 27/10, 04:00
Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Katie Volynets
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Katie Volynets
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
6-4 (W-L)
Katie Volynets
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dayana Yastremska
1–1
Katie Volynets
(2 last)
- 07 Jan2-1 14-11W
- 15 Apr1-2 15-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1512 · Katie Volynets 1558
| Dayana Yastremska | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1512 vs 1558).
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.6 | 13-11 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Dayana Yastremska 1 – 1 Katie Volynets (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dayana Yastremska 1–1 Katie Volynets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/25 WTA Hobart | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/04/23 WTA Stuttgart | 1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Xiaodi You WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Katie Volynets
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Hanyu Guo WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Robin Montgomery WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets?
Our model gives 58% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.