Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 26/10, 04:30
Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev
Team pages: Koki Matsuda · Beibit Zhukayev
Prediction summary
Winner
Koki Matsuda
Beibit Zhukayev
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda
4-6 (W-L)
Beibit Zhukayev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1481 · Beibit Zhukayev 1475
| Koki Matsuda | Beibit Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Beibit Zhukayev dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 40.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | Beibit Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.3 | 9.2-11 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 17.7% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Geun Jun Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Beibit Zhukayev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Min Ho Ko Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Adam Walton ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Liam Broady Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/04 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev?
Our model gives 52% to Beibit Zhukayev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.