Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: Victoria Hu vs Natalia Sousa Salazar

Team pages: Victoria Hu · Natalia Sousa Salazar

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Victoria Hu Natalia Sousa Salazar
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Hu 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWLWLL
Natalia Sousa Salazar 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoria Hu 1473 · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1417
Victoria HuNatalia Sousa Salazar
Our model58%42%
Market94%6%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Hu (rating 1473 vs 1417).

Statistics

Victoria HuNatalia Sousa Salazar
Win %40%20%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.5-1.7
Games (G-P)9.3-10.16.9-11.9
Aces2.10.2
Double faults2.13.8
1st serve %60%51.9%
Break %49%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoria Hu

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Tatjana Maria
W75 Saguenay
0-2 1-12 L
19/10 Ranah Akua Stoiber
W75 Saguenay
2-1 14-9 W
18/10 Samantha Alicea
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W50 Quebec City
0-2 5-13 L
13/10 Avery Alexander
W50 Quebec City
2-0 13-6 W
07/10 Bella Bergkvist Larsson
W50 Lexington
1-2 11-16 L
30/09 Lea Ma
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
03/06 Maria Sholokhova
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
04/05 Samantha Alicea
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-0 7-0 W
29/04 Madison Brengle
W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Natalia Sousa Salazar

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Emily Zornada
W15 Trelew
1-2 12-16 L
09/09 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Pilar
0-2 0-12 L
03/09 Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
W15 Lujan · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Carola Celina Sosa
Others · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Ana Candiotto
W35 Barueri
0-2 5-12 L
20/08 Ana Candiotto
W15 Campos do Jordao
0-2 2-12 L
19/08 Maria Fernanda Lopes
W15 Campos do Jordao
2-1 14-14 W
12/08 Beatriz Guerra
W15 Campos do Jordao
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W35 Chacabuco
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Beatriz Guerra
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoria Hu vs Natalia Sousa Salazar?

Our model gives 78% to Victoria Hu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.