Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 25/10, 19:30
Prediction: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Team pages: Victoria Rodriguez · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Victoria Rodriguez
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Rodriguez
3-7 (W-L)
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Rodriguez 1434 · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1522
| Victoria Rodriguez | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (rating 1434 vs 1522).
- Maria F Herazo Gonzalez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Victoria Rodriguez | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.1 | 9.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 53.1% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Connie Ma W35 Redding |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Ekaterina Maklakova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Evialina Laskevich W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Raphaelle Lacasse W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Sofi Plamenova Fitcheva W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Simona Ogescu W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Mika Buchnik W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Anastasia Efremova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria F Herazo Gonzalez?
Our model gives 53% to Victoria Rodriguez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.