Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 26/10, 03:00
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Woobin Shin
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Woobin Shin
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Woobin Shin
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
7-3 (W-L)
Woobin Shin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1624 · Woobin Shin 1511
| Alibek Kachmazov | Woobin Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1624 vs 1511).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Woobin Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.3 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Yan Lang Chen Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Woobin Shin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Yunseong Chung M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Duckhee Lee M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Andong · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Andong · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Andong · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Juchan Hwang M15 Andong · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/11 | Theodore Dean M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Woobin Shin?
Our model gives 75% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.