Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 11:30
Prediction: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Adan Freire Da Silva · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Adan Freire Da Silva
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Adan Freire Da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adan Freire Da Silva 1480 · Vadym Ursu 1425
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adan Freire Da Silva (rating 1480 vs 1425).
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11 | 10.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 66% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adan Freire Da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Hugo Pierre M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Nicola Senn M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Hanu Patel M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Leo Borg M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Thomas Faurel M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adan Freire Da Silva vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 57% to Vadym Ursu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.