Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 14:30
Prediction: Calvin Hemery vs Adrien Gobat
Team pages: Calvin Hemery · Adrien Gobat
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Hemery
Adrien Gobat
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Hemery
9-1 (W-L)
Adrien Gobat
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Hemery 1581 · Adrien Gobat 1609
| Calvin Hemery | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 58.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Calvin Hemery | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.3 | 14.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 34% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Marlon Vankan M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Florent Bax M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/10 | Axel Garcian M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Hemery vs Adrien Gobat?
Our model gives 55% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.