Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 11:30
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Samir Hamza Reguig
Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Samir Hamza Reguig
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Samir Hamza Reguig
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
6-4 (W-L)
Samir Hamza Reguig
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1501 · Samir Hamza Reguig 1495
| Ugo Blanchet | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.6 | 9-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Samir Hamza Reguig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Simone Massellani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 16/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Kaan Isik Kosaner M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Lynch M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Carles Hernandez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Benoit Torcq M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Darsh Sachin Patel M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Emirhan Bulut Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Samir Hamza Reguig?
Our model gives 73% to Ugo Blanchet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.