Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 10:00
Prediction: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald
Team pages: Pierre Delage · Niels McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierre Delage
Niels McDonald
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre Delage
7-3 (W-L)
Niels McDonald
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre Delage 1530 · Niels McDonald 1439
| Pierre Delage | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Delage (rating 1530 vs 1439).
- Pierre Delage is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pierre Delage | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.2 | 9-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 65% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre Delage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Melilla |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Maximilian Figl M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Houkes M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Zaccharie Cado Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald?
Our model gives 56% to Niels McDonald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.