Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina
Team pages: Shintaro Mochizuki · Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
Shintaro Mochizuki
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Shintaro Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Cina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shintaro Mochizuki 1518 · Federico Cina 1529
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Shintaro Mochizuki makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.4 | 12.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Taro Daniel ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Martin Damm ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Pavel Kotov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Linang Xiao ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Federico Cina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Remy Bertola ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Linang Xiao ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Elias Ymer Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | James McCabe Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 58% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.