Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Team pages: Martin Damm · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
6-4 (W-L)
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1461 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1564
| Martin Damm | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (rating 1461 vs 1564).
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.8 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 14.6 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 26/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 27/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?
Our model gives 52% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.