Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Team pages: Stefano Travaglia · Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Travaglia
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Travaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefano Travaglia
0–1
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
(1 last)
- 14 Apr1-2 18-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Travaglia 1474 · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1507
| Stefano Travaglia | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefano Travaglia 0–1 Pierre-Hugues Herbert (1).
- Note: Pierre-Hugues Herbert makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Stefano Travaglia | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-13 | 13.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 7 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Stefano Travaglia 0 – 1 Pierre-Hugues Herbert (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefano Travaglia 0–1 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/18 ATP Monte Carlo Qual | 1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Travaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Valentin Royer Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Maxim Mrva ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Kenta Miyoshi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Our model gives 62% to Pierre-Hugues Herbert, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.