Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 13:00
Prediction: Moez Echargui vs Mickael Kaouk
Team pages: Moez Echargui · Mickael Kaouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Moez Echargui
Mickael Kaouk
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Moez Echargui
6-4 (W-L)
Mickael Kaouk
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moez Echargui 1536 · Mickael Kaouk 1464
| Moez Echargui | Mickael Kaouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moez Echargui (rating 1536 vs 1464).
- Note: Mickael Kaouk makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Moez Echargui | Mickael Kaouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.1 | 9.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 38% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 07/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mickael Kaouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Matt Ponchet M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moez Echargui vs Mickael Kaouk?
Our model gives 70% to Moez Echargui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.