Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Geerts vs Leo Raquillet
Team pages: Michael Geerts · Leo Raquillet
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Geerts
Leo Raquillet
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Geerts
4-6 (W-L)
Leo Raquillet
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Geerts 1492 · Leo Raquillet 1472
| Michael Geerts | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Geerts makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Michael Geerts | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.9 | 10.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 64% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Geerts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/09 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Lenny Couturier M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Matis Roche M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Adrien Berrut Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Geerts vs Leo Raquillet?
Our model gives 60% to Michael Geerts, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.