Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Timeo Trufelli
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Timeo Trufelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Timeo Trufelli
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
3-7 (W-L)
Timeo Trufelli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1488 · Timeo Trufelli 1474
| Lucas Poullain | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.5 | 11.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 25.1% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Timeo Trufelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 18/10 | Octave Caillat M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Adrien Gobat M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Gijs Brouwer M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Arthur Nagel M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Attila Hueller-Varga M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/09 | Hugo Car M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Antoine Walch M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Timeo Trufelli?
Our model gives 69% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.