Tennis · Challenger Brest · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Tom Paris vs Romain Faucon
Team pages: Tom Paris · Romain Faucon
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Paris
Romain Faucon
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Paris
4-6 (W-L)
Romain Faucon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Paris 1469 · Romain Faucon 1554
| Tom Paris | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Romain Faucon (rating 1469 vs 1554).
- Romain Faucon is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tom Paris | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.7 | 12.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Paris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Maximilian Marterer M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 06/04 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Romain Faucon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Artur Kukasian M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Marat Salbiev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Nicola Senn M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Niklas Waldner M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Marwan Ehab M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Paris vs Romain Faucon?
Our model gives 53% to Tom Paris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.