Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby Samuel
Team pages: Inaki Montes-De La Torre · Toby Samuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Toby Samuel
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
8-2 (W-L)
Toby Samuel
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1544 · Toby Samuel 1483
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inaki Montes-De La Torre (rating 1544 vs 1483).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.4 | 12.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 52% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Setubal |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Andy Andrade Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Tomas Machac US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby Samuel?
Our model gives 58% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.