Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Team pages: Gabriel Diallo · Nishesh Basavareddy
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriel Diallo
Nishesh Basavareddy
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriel Diallo
2-8 (W-L)
Nishesh Basavareddy
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriel Diallo 1495 · Nishesh Basavareddy 1550
| Gabriel Diallo | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nishesh Basavareddy (rating 1495 vs 1550).
- Gabriel Diallo dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 60.4% break avg.
- Nishesh Basavareddy is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gabriel Diallo | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-14.6 | 11.8-8.7 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriel Diallo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 17/10 | Harold Mayot ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-30 | L |
| 25/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Raphael Collignon ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Edas Butvilas ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh Basavareddy?
Our model gives 58% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.