Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka
Team pages: Hugo Gaston · Daniil Glinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
3-7 (W-L)
Daniil Glinka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1483 · Daniil Glinka 1546
| Hugo Gaston | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Glinka (rating 1483 vs 1546).
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.6 | 13.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 35% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel Jade Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Liam Draxl ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka?
Our model gives 51% to Hugo Gaston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.