Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
4-6 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1–1
Aleksandar Kovacevic
(2 last)
- 14 Jun2-0 12-7W
- 09 Jan1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1414 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1482
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandar Kovacevic (rating 1414 vs 1482).
- Note: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-15.7 | 12-13.1 |
| Aces | 16.5 | 10.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 26.4% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 25.5
Over 25.5: 47% · 1.57
Under 25.5: 53% · 2.25
H2H · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1 – 1 Aleksandar Kovacevic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1–1 Aleksandar Kovacevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 ATP Queens | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/01/26 ATP Brisbane | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Remy Bertola ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-20 | L |
| 23/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | James Duckworth ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Zachary Svajda ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 58% to Aleksandar Kovacevic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.