Tennis · ATP Basel · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier

Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Daniel Altmaier

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLW
Daniel Altmaier 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–3 Daniel Altmaier (5 last)
  • 23 Apr2-0 12-8W
  • 10 Feb2-0 12-4W
  • 15 May0-2 5-12L
  • 21 Aug0-2 8-13L
  • 16 Feb1-2 9-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1489 · Daniel Altmaier 1485
Juan Manuel CerundoloDaniel Altmaier
Our model51%49%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–3 Daniel Altmaier (5).

Statistics

Juan Manuel CerundoloDaniel Altmaier
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.30.9-1.5
Games (G-P)11.7-12.511.2-14.1
Aces5.58.4
Double faults2.22.8
1st serve %72.7%71.3%
Break %32.4%32.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.5
Over 24.5: 40% · 1.83 Under 24.5: 60% · 1.83

H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2 – 3 Daniel Altmaier (5)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–3 Daniel Altmaier

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/04/26
ATP Madrid
2-012-8W
10/02/26
ATP Buenos Aires
2-012-4W
15/05/25
Challenger Turin
0-25-12L
21/08/21
Challenger Luedenscheid
0-28-13L
16/02/21
Challenger Concepcion
1-29-16L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/10 Zachary Svajda
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Mariano Navone
ATP Brussels · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/10 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/10 Nicolas Mejia
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/09 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Beijing · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
26/09 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
24/09 Yi Zhou
ATP Chengdu · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/09 Arthur Gea
US Open · Hard
2-3 19-23 L
27/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
25/08 Dhakshineswar Suresh
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Daniel Altmaier

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/10 Henry Bernet
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
23/10 Taylor Fritz
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Borna Gojo
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Titouan Droguet
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
09/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Holger Rune
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
28/09 Jie Cui
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Zachary Svajda
US Open · Hard
1-3 13-24 L
26/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier?

Our model gives 50% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.