Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 25/10, 07:10
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Mei Yamaguchi
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Mei Yamaguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Mei Yamaguchi
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
6-4 (W-L)
Mei Yamaguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1568 · Mei Yamaguchi 1477
| Harriet Dart | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1568 vs 1477).
- Harriet Dart is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 9.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 56% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Talia Gibson WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Rina Saigo WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Yihan Qu WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Marie Bouzkova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Peyton Stearns US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Mei Yamaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Dayeon Back W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Mei Yamaguchi?
Our model gives 73% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.