Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 25/10, 06:00
Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
5-5 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1482 · Emerson Jones 1537
| Dayana Yastremska | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emerson Jones (rating 1482 vs 1537).
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.2 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 63% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Xiaodi You WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Heather Watson WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Haruka Kaji WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 52% to Dayana Yastremska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.