Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang
Team pages: Tereza Valentova · Shuai Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Tereza Valentova
Shuai Zhang
Estimated games
20.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova
8-2 (W-L)
Shuai Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tereza Valentova
1–0
Shuai Zhang
(1 last)
- 20 Oct2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1551 · Shuai Zhang 1470
| Tereza Valentova | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tereza Valentova (rating 1551 vs 1470).
- Tereza Valentova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tereza Valentova 1–0 Shuai Zhang (1).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Tereza Valentova | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9 | 8.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 51% · 1.83
H2H · Tereza Valentova 1 – 0 Shuai Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tereza Valentova 1–0 Shuai Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/26 WTA Osaka | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | En Shuo Liang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kayla Day WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Tereza Valentova WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yulia Putintseva Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang?
Our model gives 64% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.