Prediction: Alex Michelsen vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Alex Michelsen · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Michelsen
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Michelsen
7-3 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Michelsen
0–1
Botic Van De Zandschulp
(1 last)
- 10 Oct0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Michelsen 1537 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1534
| Alex Michelsen | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alex Michelsen dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 47.9% break avg.
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 6 aces and 52.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alex Michelsen 0–1 Botic Van De Zandschulp (1).
- Note: Alex Michelsen makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alex Michelsen | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-12.3 | 12.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 39% · 2.00
H2H · Alex Michelsen 0 – 1 Botic Van De Zandschulp (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Michelsen 0–1 Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/26 ATP Shanghai | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Michelsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | David Goffin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 27-28 | L |
| 06/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Daniel Merida Aguilar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Brandon Nakashima US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-5 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Michelsen vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 59% to Alex Michelsen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.