Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech
Team pages: Jerome Kym · Arthur Rinderknech
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerome Kym
Arthur Rinderknech
Estimated games
26.3Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym
5-5 (W-L)
Arthur Rinderknech
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jerome Kym
1–0
Arthur Rinderknech
(1 last)
- 19 Oct2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1539 · Arthur Rinderknech 1475
| Jerome Kym | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1539 vs 1475).
- Jerome Kym dominates on serve: 9.5 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Arthur Rinderknech dominates on serve: 14.1 aces and 44.7% break avg.
- Jerome Kym is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jerome Kym 1–0 Arthur Rinderknech (1).
- Note: Arthur Rinderknech makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jerome Kym | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-11.6 | 16.2-16 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 14.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3 · Bet365 line 25.5 · +0.8
Over 25.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 25.5: 45% · 1.83
H2H · Jerome Kym 1 – 0 Arthur Rinderknech (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jerome Kym 1–0 Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/24 ATP Basel | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerome Kym
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Dan Added US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Liam Draxl Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Sho Shimabukuro US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 16/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Our model gives 53% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.