Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan Smith
Team pages: Yu Hsiou Hsu · Keegan Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Keegan Smith
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
6-4 (W-L)
Keegan Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1517 · Keegan Smith 1509
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.1 | 13.8-13.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 12 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 24.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Mohammad Alkotop Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 60% to Keegan Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.