Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Yuta Shimizu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Yuta Shimizu
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Yuta Shimizu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1460 · Yuta Shimizu 1485
| Mili Poljicak | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yuta Shimizu dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 49% break avg.
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.4 | 11.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Max Basing Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Yuta Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu?
Our model gives 52% to Yuta Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.