Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Rigele Te vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Rigele Te · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Rigele Te
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rigele Te
4-6 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rigele Te 1472 · Mert Alkaya 1526
| Rigele Te | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mert Alkaya (rating 1472 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Rigele Te | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.5 | 9.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 28.6% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Adam Walton ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Casper Ruud Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mert Alkaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ko Suzuki M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Davis Cup |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rigele Te vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 60% to Mert Alkaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.