Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Tianhui Zhang vs Harold Mayot
Team pages: Tianhui Zhang · Harold Mayot
Prediction summary
Winner
Tianhui Zhang
Harold Mayot
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tianhui Zhang
6-4 (W-L)
Harold Mayot
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tianhui Zhang 1517 · Harold Mayot 1559
| Tianhui Zhang | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1517 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Tianhui Zhang | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.2 | 12.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Miles Jones M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kaichi Uchida M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tianhui Zhang vs Harold Mayot?
Our model gives 73% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.