Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Ognjen Milic · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Ognjen Milic
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ognjen Milic
6-4 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ognjen Milic 1475 · Kaichi Uchida 1418
| Ognjen Milic | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ognjen Milic (rating 1475 vs 1418).
Statistics
| Ognjen Milic | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12 | 9.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 64.9% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Pijus Vaitiekunas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ognjen Milic vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 63% to Ognjen Milic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.