Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Charles Broom vs Akira Santillan
Team pages: Charles Broom · Akira Santillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Broom
Akira Santillan
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Broom
7-3 (W-L)
Akira Santillan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Charles Broom
0–1
Akira Santillan
(1 last)
- 11 Apr0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Broom 1527 · Akira Santillan 1505
| Charles Broom | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Akira Santillan dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 41.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Charles Broom 0–1 Akira Santillan (1).
Statistics
| Charles Broom | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.5 | 11.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 74% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Charles Broom 0 – 1 Akira Santillan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charles Broom 0–1 Akira Santillan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 M25 Maanshan | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Broom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Hongjin Qi Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Akira Santillan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaigaoge Kang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Broom vs Akira Santillan?
Our model gives 58% to Charles Broom, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.