Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Liam Broady
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Liam Broady
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
4-6 (W-L)
Liam Broady
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1428 · Liam Broady 1403
| Sergey Fomin | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Liam Broady makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (6) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.5-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.6 | 11.1-14 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 32.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Shearer M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominik Palan M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady?
Our model gives 59% to Liam Broady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.