Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 27/10, 03:00
Prediction: Tristan Schoolkate vs Masamichi Imamura
Team pages: Tristan Schoolkate · Masamichi Imamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Schoolkate
Masamichi Imamura
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Masamichi Imamura
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Schoolkate
0–1
Masamichi Imamura
(1 last)
- 25 Oct1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Schoolkate 1515 · Masamichi Imamura 1420
| Tristan Schoolkate | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Schoolkate (rating 1515 vs 1420).
- Tristan Schoolkate is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tristan Schoolkate 0–1 Masamichi Imamura (1).
Statistics
| Tristan Schoolkate | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.2 | 8-11.1 |
| Aces | 11.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 22.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Tristan Schoolkate 0 – 1 Masamichi Imamura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Schoolkate 0–1 Masamichi Imamura
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/24 Challenger Playford | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Masamichi Imamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Schoolkate vs Masamichi Imamura?
Our model gives 74% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.