Tennis · ATP Vienna MD · 28/10, 11:00
Prediction: Bolelli/Vavassori vs Melo/Zverev
Team pages: Bolelli/Vavassori · Melo/Zverev
Prediction summary
Winner
Bolelli/Vavassori
Melo/Zverev
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Bolelli/Vavassori
6-4 (W-L)
Melo/Zverev
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bolelli/Vavassori
1–0
Melo/Zverev
(1 last)
- 17 Jun2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolelli/Vavassori 1537 · Melo/Zverev 1456
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Melo/Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolelli/Vavassori (rating 1537 vs 1456).
- Bolelli/Vavassori is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Bolelli/Vavassori 1–0 Melo/Zverev (1).
Statistics
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Melo/Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.1 | 10.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Bolelli/Vavassori 1 – 0 Melo/Zverev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolelli/Vavassori 1–0 Melo/Zverev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/25 ATP Halle MD | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolelli/Vavassori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
| 05/10 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Polmans/Zielinski ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Mochizuki/Watanabe ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Harrison/Skupski US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Krajicek/Mektic US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/09 | Gille/Verbeek US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Halys/Herbert US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Melo/Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Arends/Johnson ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Navone/Tabilo ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Chan/Galarneau ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Cobolli/Shelton ATP Halle MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Bergs/Bublik ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 11/05 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Darderi/Tsitsipas ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolelli/Vavassori vs Melo/Zverev?
Our model gives 62% to Bolelli/Vavassori, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.