Tennis · ATP Vienna MD · 28/10, 11:00
Prediction: Heliovaara/Patten vs Krajicek/Mektic
Team pages: Heliovaara/Patten · Krajicek/Mektic
Prediction summary
Winner
Heliovaara/Patten
Krajicek/Mektic
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Heliovaara/Patten
6-4 (W-L)
Krajicek/Mektic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heliovaara/Patten 1560 · Krajicek/Mektic 1582
| Heliovaara/Patten | Krajicek/Mektic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Heliovaara/Patten | Krajicek/Mektic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.4 | 15.8-14.7 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 26.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heliovaara/Patten
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Harrison/Skupski US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Andreozzi/Guinard US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/09 | Cabral/Tracy US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Arnaldi/Struff US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Cerundolo/Cerundolo US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Hanfmann/Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Goransson/Ruud ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Buse/Cobolli ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Krajicek/Mektic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Miedler/Oberleitner ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-20 | W |
| 06/10 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 05/10 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Tabilo/Van Assche ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Nouza/Venus ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 09/09 | Bolelli/Vavassori US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Seggerman/Trhac US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieczonka/Stevens US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Nouza/Oberleitner ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heliovaara/Patten vs Krajicek/Mektic?
Our model gives 53% to Heliovaara/Patten, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.