Prediction: Mai Hontama vs Maya Joint
Team pages: Mai Hontama · Maya Joint
Prediction summary
Winner
Mai Hontama
Maya Joint
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mai Hontama
4-6 (W-L)
Maya Joint
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mai Hontama
0–1
Maya Joint
(1 last)
- 25 Jan0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mai Hontama 1479 · Maya Joint 1519
| Mai Hontama | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maya Joint (rating 1479 vs 1519).
- Head-to-head: Mai Hontama 0–1 Maya Joint (1).
Statistics
| Mai Hontama | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.1 | 13.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 51.9% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.5
Over 19.5: 67% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 33% · 1.83
H2H · Mai Hontama 0 – 1 Maya Joint (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mai Hontama 0–1 Maya Joint
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/25 WTA Singapore | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mai Hontama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jodie Anna Burrage WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Alexandra Panova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lina Gjorcheska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Maya Joint
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Kayla Day WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Dayeon Back WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Xinxin Yao WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mai Hontama vs Maya Joint?
Our model gives 66% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.