Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 27/10, 02:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Juncheng Shang
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Juncheng Shang
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Juncheng Shang
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Juncheng Shang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1591 · Juncheng Shang 1446
| Lloyd Harris | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1591 vs 1446).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 40.6% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.3 | 11.9-14.1 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 81.7% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Alex Bolt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Juncheng Shang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-20 | L |
| 14/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Kei Nishikori ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Juncheng Shang?
Our model gives 62% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.