Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 27/10, 02:00

Prediction: Taro Daniel vs Andre Ilagan

Team pages: Taro Daniel · Andre Ilagan

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Taro Daniel Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Taro Daniel 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWL
Andre Ilagan 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taro Daniel 1469 · Andre Ilagan 1501
Taro DanielAndre Ilagan
Our model45%55%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Taro DanielAndre Ilagan
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21-1.3
Games (G-P)11.3-11.611.6-12.4
Aces4.67.8
Double faults1.52.8
1st serve %69%72.6%
Break %39.4%33.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taro Daniel

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Almaty · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
05/10 Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
28/09 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Tokyo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/09 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
1-2 18-20 L
24/09 Dane Sweeny
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/09 Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
22/09 Jake Delaney
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
07/09 Matthew Dellavedova
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Andrew Johnson
US Open · Hard
1-2 12-14 L

Andre Ilagan

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Yi Zhou
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/10 Khumoyun Sultanov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
19/10 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
14/10 Yosuke Watanuki
Challenger Jinan · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/10 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
02/10 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
01/10 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Matthew Dellavedova
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/09 Petr Bar Biryukov
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
15/09 Bryce Nakashima
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 18-20 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taro Daniel vs Andre Ilagan?

Our model gives 51% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.