Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 27/10, 02:00
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit Samrej
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto · Kasidit Samrej
Prediction summary
Winner
Rei Sakamoto
Kasidit Samrej
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rei Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Kasidit Samrej
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rei Sakamoto
1–0
Kasidit Samrej
(1 last)
- 18 Nov2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1558 · Kasidit Samrej 1502
| Rei Sakamoto | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1558 vs 1502).
- Head-to-head: Rei Sakamoto 1–0 Kasidit Samrej (1).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.7 | 11.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 81% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 24.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Rei Sakamoto 1 – 0 Kasidit Samrej (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rei Sakamoto 1–0 Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/25 Challenger Yokohama | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Amir Omarkhanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/10 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Anton Shepp Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Pradip Khadka Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 74% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.