Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 27/10, 02:00
Prediction: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang
Team pages: Marin Cilic · Zhizhen Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Marin Cilic
Zhizhen Zhang
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marin Cilic
4-6 (W-L)
Zhizhen Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marin Cilic
1–0
Zhizhen Zhang
(1 last)
- 24 Sept2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marin Cilic 1441 · Zhizhen Zhang 1428
| Marin Cilic | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marin Cilic 1–0 Zhizhen Zhang (1).
Statistics
| Marin Cilic | Zhizhen Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-13.4 | 10.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 25.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Marin Cilic 1 – 0 Zhizhen Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marin Cilic 1–0 Zhizhen Zhang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/24 ATP Hangzhou | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marin Cilic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Adam Walton Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Arthur Fery ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Zhizhen Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang?
Our model gives 59% to Marin Cilic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.