Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 25/10, 06:00
Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim
Team pages: Koki Matsuda · Geun Jun Kim
Prediction summary
Winner
Koki Matsuda
Geun Jun Kim
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda
4-6 (W-L)
Geun Jun Kim
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1472 · Geun Jun Kim 1530
| Koki Matsuda | Geun Jun Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geun Jun Kim (rating 1472 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | Geun Jun Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12.5 | 11.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 13.3% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Geun Jun Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Lachlan Vickery M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Harrison Satara M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Alex Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim?
Our model gives 58% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.