Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 25/10, 03:00
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Uisung Park
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Uisung Park
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
5-5 (W-L)
Uisung Park
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1478 · Uisung Park 1428
| Alafia Ayeni | Uisung Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alafia Ayeni (rating 1478 vs 1428).
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Uisung Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.6-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.4 | 7.7-10 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Li Tu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Adrien Burdet Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Uisung Park
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Thijmen Loof Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Hiroki Moriya M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 11/06 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Uisung Park?
Our model gives 62% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.