Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 25/10, 08:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
3-7 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hiroki Moriya
1–0
Taisei Ichikawa
(1 last)
- 20 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1476 · Taisei Ichikawa 1515
| Hiroki Moriya | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hiroki Moriya 1–0 Taisei Ichikawa (1).
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.2 | 11.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 33% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Hiroki Moriya 1 – 0 Taisei Ichikawa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroki Moriya 1–0 Taisei Ichikawa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/24 ITF M25 Takasaki | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jilong Huang Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Taisei Ichikawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Noah Karma M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Ren Nakamura M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Blake Bayldon Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Anthony Susanto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 56% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.