Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 25/10, 10:30

Prediction: Filip Peliwo vs Saba Purtseladze

Team pages: Filip Peliwo · Saba Purtseladze

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Filip Peliwo Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Peliwo 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWWL
Saba Purtseladze 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Filip Peliwo 1515 · Saba Purtseladze 1511
Filip PeliwoSaba Purtseladze
Our model51%49%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 9 aces and 46.2% break avg.
  • Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Filip PeliwoSaba Purtseladze
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)9.6-9.111.3-10.7
Aces2.19
Double faults1.76
1st serve %68.4%77.5%
Break %47.9%46.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Filip Peliwo

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/10 Mikalai Haliak
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/10 Hao-Yu Lin
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Xirui Han
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/10 Jordan Chiu
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/10 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Qian Daohu
0-2 7-13 L
07/10 Timofei Derepasko
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
06/10 Max Purcell
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
28/09 Mattia Bellucci
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/09 Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 Enzo Aguiard
M25 Yinchuan
2-0 12-6 W

Saba Purtseladze

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Khumoyun Sultanov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
18/10 Masamichi Imamura
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Nicola Rispoli
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
29/09 Nika Bidzinashvili
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Johan Nikles
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/09 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 9-15 L
13/08 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
11/08 Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/08 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
09/08 Richard Antoni
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Filip Peliwo vs Saba Purtseladze?

Our model gives 57% to Saba Purtseladze, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.