Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 25/10, 04:00
Prediction: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Egor Pleshivtsev · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Egor Pleshivtsev
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Egor Pleshivtsev
3-7 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Egor Pleshivtsev
0–1
Dominik Palan
(1 last)
- 11 Mar0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egor Pleshivtsev 1496 · Dominik Palan 1431
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Egor Pleshivtsev (rating 1496 vs 1431).
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Egor Pleshivtsev is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Egor Pleshivtsev 0–1 Dominik Palan (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.4 | 10.4-13.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Egor Pleshivtsev 0 – 1 Dominik Palan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Egor Pleshivtsev 0–1 Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/25 M15 Nonthaburi | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Ye Hongyu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Evan Zhu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Yua Taka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egor Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 52% to Egor Pleshivtsev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.